This morning's video is from Ted, so I'm sure at least a quarter of you have seen it. None the less, the point I would like to draw attention to is the unavailability of the patternisity problem. If you are going to see patterns in the world around you then you are going to make type 1 and type 2 errors. There is no way around this problem, short of omniscience. And given that you and I are fated to see patterns where there are none, and to miss patterns where there are some, the only reasonable response is humility and courage.
We must have the humility to admit that we will be wrong in both directions from time to time. And we must have the courage to act despite this lack of certainty. Without certainty to fall back on, then we must have some other method to avoid regret. And much like not believing in an afterlife demands that you make the most out of this life, not believing in certainty demands that you make sure that you did your best. Having done your best, no matter how dismal, allows you to sleep at night after a major blunder.
It does you no good to say "but I was certain" after its been proven that you flubbed it. But saying, "I did everything in my power to make sure I was right" lets you off the hook to a large extent. I have made terrible mistakes and had miserable failures in my life. But almost without exception I was doing my very best every day. And I sleep quite well.
http://www.ted.com/talks/michael_shermer_the_pattern_behind_self_deception.html
Saturday, September 29, 2012
Tuesday, September 25, 2012
New Policy
Anyone who suggests edits that I take will be listed in the comments as a coauthor for that post.
"Who am I?"
A friend of mine asked me a question today that had
"who am I?" as part of it. And it got me thinking about how to answer
that question in the general first, and then the specific. And my answer starts
with, what you are.
You
are an animal. A member of the only species to ever build, and move into, its own zoo. And now you live in the finest cage that money can buy. You have the
urges and drives that make sense on the plains of Africa¹, most of which haven't
made any sense since the agricultural revolution.
The
story of The Fall, of being ejected from the Garden of Eden has, to my mind, a
kernel of truth. For the Christians the thing that explains all of our sinful
urges is original sin. That is why we lust and rage and whatever it is we
aren't supposed to do. And there was a time before that sin where we lived
in harmony with our surroundings and I guess didn't have sex or something. But
now we live in a fallen world where everyone is born flawed and disobedient
to gods will.
The
kernel of truth that I see² is based in evolutionary psychology. I think that there was a
time where we were more in tune with the world. When what we wanted to do was
the right thing to do much more often; when our desires did not get derailed by
gambling or record collecting; when ennui was obliterated by the bright light
of immediate mortality. I do not think that this was a better time to be a
human being. I do not think that it is a state to be venerated or sought out. But it
was a time when it made more sense to be a human being. And now the demands,
capacities, and luxuries that agriculture and industry have provided make
for a strange environment in which to be a tribal ape.
Evopsych
is a very tricky tool to use, and one should be very cautious when trying to
divine "what we should be like." There is no direct evidence to be
had, and as the video I linked will show you, even the basics of our
evolutionary path are up for grabs. But I don't think it’s risky to say that
the environment we find ourselves in does not comport to the basic psychology
that we developed evolutionarily. And I think that we would do well to
understand that it is not just religion that leads us into maladaptive
practices, but indeed our entire environment is at some level, mismatched with
us as animals.
Our
drives were instilled in us by evolution. Evolution prepared us for an environment
entirely different from the one we find ourselves in. I think that part of
religions role to date has been to make up stories that helped people cope with
this conflict. And I think that the same service can be rendered by secular
thought.
This
is an opportunity for secular ministry. Religion tells people why the
world is unfairly frustrating and what to do about it. In Christianity it is
the story of the fall and redemption in the afterlife. In Hinduism there is a
story about reincarnation and what to do in this life to improve your next one.
But science's story is that we evolved for one thing and now we do this new thing. We can look at human psychology and the world
around us and try to modify both, purely on rational grounds, towards an
increase of human flourishing. There is nothing morally wrong with us or with
the world, but there are endemic problems that can’t be fixed, only coped with.
You
are also an embodied autobiography. You have grown and changed in light of your
experiences and the interpretation of those experiences. There are the physical
ramifications of that; you might be healthy, and you might not be. You might have been born into a body that is
different than most, or have a body that was wracked by injury. What you
have eaten and how active you have been, what you have smoked and what you have
drank all have long lasting effects. And your day to day self is in part a
result of those actions and conditions. The point is
that you have a body and it matters what condition it is in.
You
also have a mind³. There are stories of all your experiences written in your brain. And which stories you tell, and how you tell them effects how you
see yourself and how you behave. There are stories but there are also the interpretations
of those stories. What happened to you is
what happened to you. But how you feel about it and how you choose to talk
about it are variable. A story that ends with a trauma is a sad story. A story
that ends with overcoming that trauma is uplifting. And I know, from personal experience
that you can change who you are by changing how you interpret the autobiography
that you tell yourself.
Some
of us were badly mistreated; others taught unhealthy ways to look at the world.
Some lucky ones among us must have been treated well and are perfectly adjusted,
but I have never met one. And if you are systemically unhappy you should know
there are ways out of that unhappiness. I used to give up on people. I used to
look at the misbegotten and think “there’s no hope for that one.” But I have
seen the hopeless thrive, in time and with help. So much of what we think of
people is determined by what sample we use. I think we need to wait until a person is dead
to judge their life. To do otherwise is to condemn the redeemable, or to canonize
the fallible.
So
this is what you are. You are a social ape that lives in the zoo that he built; an
ape whose life history, and its key to interpretation, are engraved on his body
and mind.
¹I
have no idea what to make of this video.
²This
idea I've gotten most clearly from this book, which is fantastic for other reasons that I
should write about.
³I
might at some point try and explain my view vis-à-vis mind versus brain versus
body but now is not the time
Saturday, September 22, 2012
Saturday Morning Videos
This is the beginning of a series of videos that I think
make for a meaningful part of a foundation for a naturalistic ministry. This
video in particular makes the case for church in the absence of belief; church
as a call to virtue and community. I found this video very persuasive and would
love to hear any thoughts about it, especially criticisms.
http://vimeo.com/35701336
Friday, September 21, 2012
Last Day of Summer
Today is the last day of summer, and as much as I an enormously glad to be wearing my big boy pants again, it is also the warning shot for "The Winter Madness". And I would just remind everyone that due to certain biological implications of astronomical events. About 1/5 of the US population will experience seasonal depression or its sub-clinical variation.
It is because of this that I am offering up my household's wisdom on coping with the winter madness. First off is just to know, you might be more depressed this winter, and it will be because of biology. So if your loved ones seem off, or if you seem off to them, it might just be vestigial hibernation. Secondly, exercise helps. It helps a lot. The data says that cardio is better for fighting off depression than strength training. But I prefer picking things up and putting them back down.
The third thing, and this may be the most important, is that the beginning of fall represents an end to Hank Williams season. Hank Williams is just Too Fucking Depressing to be consumed during peak winter madness months. Much like pills and booze, you shouldn't mix depressants; Hank Williams in February could literally kill a man.
But warnings aside, bring on the jeans and boots and fashionable jackets! Fall is here and as my lady informed me this morning "Its leather weather!"
It is because of this that I am offering up my household's wisdom on coping with the winter madness. First off is just to know, you might be more depressed this winter, and it will be because of biology. So if your loved ones seem off, or if you seem off to them, it might just be vestigial hibernation. Secondly, exercise helps. It helps a lot. The data says that cardio is better for fighting off depression than strength training. But I prefer picking things up and putting them back down.
The third thing, and this may be the most important, is that the beginning of fall represents an end to Hank Williams season. Hank Williams is just Too Fucking Depressing to be consumed during peak winter madness months. Much like pills and booze, you shouldn't mix depressants; Hank Williams in February could literally kill a man.
But warnings aside, bring on the jeans and boots and fashionable jackets! Fall is here and as my lady informed me this morning "Its leather weather!"
Wednesday, September 19, 2012
An ethic of truth.
During the French Enlightenment some of the most powerful
thinkers of the day were trying to move beyond religious thinking and toward a
rational worldview. One in particular, Denis Diderot, wrote that "we need
an ethic of truth for there is nothing more dangerous than to deceive ourselves
about the nature of the world". Further, in a naturalistic and atheistic
ethics, the only ethical criteria are pleasure and utility.¹ So what can we get
out of this idea?
We can get a simple rubric to think about ethics. It won’t
necessarily pass philosophical muster, and it may not defeat theistic bigotry,
but it might help us think through some of our day to day ethical conundrums
without resorting to "my invisible friend told me” or “it’s just obvious”.
The first simple case is where things are useful and pleasurable, the mitzvah case. These are the things that are unambiguously good. The canonical example seems to be getting pregnant. It’s fun and useful. That being said I don't think they were having the overpopulation problems that we are when that canon was written. The second simple example is something that is "anti-useful" and also unpleasant, the sin case. Smashing yourself (or anyone really) with a hammer for no reason. It causes harm and reduces utility. But these cases are too obvious to bother explaining.
Pleasurable
|
Unpleasant
|
|
Useful
|
Vaccines
|
|
Miser
|
||
Hindering
|
Smelling the roses
|
Sin
|
Heroin
|
The first simple case is where things are useful and pleasurable, the mitzvah case. These are the things that are unambiguously good. The canonical example seems to be getting pregnant. It’s fun and useful. That being said I don't think they were having the overpopulation problems that we are when that canon was written. The second simple example is something that is "anti-useful" and also unpleasant, the sin case. Smashing yourself (or anyone really) with a hammer for no reason. It causes harm and reduces utility. But these cases are too obvious to bother explaining.
The two grey areas are only slightly more problematic. In
the first grey area (unpleasant but useful) you can understand the spectrum of
possibilities starting with something like vaccines. There is no fun to be had
there, but it is clearly useful. Doing your chores or going to the gym are
other examples. This utility over pleasure idea can obviously be taken too far.
We do not all train to be Special Forces on the off chance we need to defend
the nation. We do not route every last dollar into savings and investment. The second grey area is the mirror image of
the first. The case where things that are pleasant but reduce utility. This can
be seen on a scale from smelling the roses, which is has long been understood
to be a net positive; to freebasing cocaine, which I understand is enormously
pleasant, but does have meaningful downsides. We can make sacrifices of
utility for pleasure, and do so all the time. Sometimes spending that extra
dollar on something that you can’t possibly justify is the right thing to do. Life
needs to be enjoyed, and sometimes you have to do unpleasant things to make
that possible, but you miss the point of hard work if you don't get to enjoy
anything.
Most of us take each of these mixes too far from time to
time. We eat too much, we spend too much time at work, we imbibe too much, or
penny pinch to the point that it causes upset. Each of us has our vices and the
point is not to eliminate them, but to understand the costs and keep our
overall long term goals in mind when we make choices. And this rubric of
utility and pleasure is meant to help tally the score.
You may have noticed some room for confusion here. For
example what if you really like going to the gym and you go so much that you
miss out on important things? Is that too much pleasure or too much utility?
What if the down side to eating too much is that I get sick? Wouldn't that be
pleasure and its opposite fighting it out? Because we haven't defined our terms pleasure
and utility, it has sounded like stuff-we-want and other-stuff-we-want. Simply
stated Pleasure is feeling good and Utility is the power to change things. These definitions are probably question begging, but too bad. If you have the philosophical sophistication to tear down concepts like utility and pleasure, then you have issues that I am not addressing here.
There is in these kinds of problems a conflict between the now
and the future. There is what you want to do right now (eat chips and watch TV)
and what you will wish you had done looking back from tomorrow (gone to the
gym). But the reason that you will have wished that you went to the gym is
because future you is better off in that case. Thus the chicken and egg problem
is perpetual with utility and pleasure, which is fine you just have to pick
where you start and end the story.
At the end of the day this is just a specific way to draw up
pro/con lists. It is an idea that helps clarify problems. There are,
undoubtedly, conundrums that this idea does not help illuminate. And in those
cases you would want to use a different interpretation of events to help figure
out what you thought was right and what was wrong. But that is another story.
I hope you find this idea helpful, and its explanation
amusing. And I hope that you are now glad that you read this, as opposed to
looking at funny pictures on Reddit.
¹ The last two sentences are basically a paraphrase from
this lecture. Birth of the Modern Mind. Which is itself referencing
D'Alembert's Dream.
Tuesday, September 18, 2012
Two quick thoughts.
If it is a problem for theists that they restrict which books they will engage with, then isn't it a problem for atheists that we will not engage with scriptures?
I think when we try and understand the religious we need to be more careful to remember that there is no god, and that organized religions are just social phenomena that have a role in our culture. What do they do? What do they say? What impact does that behavior have? I think we will come to different understandings if we stop focusing on the fact that their books contain fairy tales. Talking about the fact that there are no fairies doesn't seem productive.
I think when we try and understand the religious we need to be more careful to remember that there is no god, and that organized religions are just social phenomena that have a role in our culture. What do they do? What do they say? What impact does that behavior have? I think we will come to different understandings if we stop focusing on the fact that their books contain fairy tales. Talking about the fact that there are no fairies doesn't seem productive.
Wednesday, September 12, 2012
For future reference:
Character | Name of Character | Alt Code |
¹ | Superscript one | Alt + 0185 |
² | Superscript two | Alt + 253 Alt + 0178 |
³ | Superscript three | Alt + 0179 |
Tuesday, September 11, 2012
Why we should have Atheist Ministers (Part 1 of N)
The simple version is this: ministers provide services that atheists currently cant get. And in a
series of posts I mean to outline what those services are, why we could use
them, how to provide them safely, and so on. Today I am going to start with this question: "Who do you go to to help you understand what you believe?"
If you are not inclined to philosophical thought, which is
an inclination most people are blessed to be without, then certain ethical, moral and complex pragmatic problems seem vague and intractable. Or even worse they seem like a
mix of clear certainties and unanchored opinions. For example
most conversations about sexual ethics or the goodness of public policy. I am
hard pressed to think of where an atheist could turn to have these questions
addressed (not answered, addressed). I've tried to look for secular
sexual ethics and found literally nothing. When people talk about it at all,
people seem to have no clear ideas, unless they are (anti)religious ideas. And are you
going to look to political parties to tell you which policies are right and
which are wrong? They will tell you, but it’s a mix of self-righteous assertion
and political spin. Or how about the media? Those bastards are beyond useless. So is there anyone who you trust to have thought about these
kinds of issues? Do your friends have such a person?
If you're actively church going, then you have
a person to go to. A minister. That minister's
beliefs are grounded in foundational texts to which you subscribe. And you
don't have to take his word as gospel when it comes to welfare policy, but they
might be able to frame your questions. You may not like the way religions have handled this responsibility to date. But if you were an atheist when you hit puberty I
bet you would have been deeply relieved to have someone you trusted who you talk to. I know it would have saved me a lot of time in
high school.
Now you might say "This is exactly what we as atheists are avoiding. Priests and
ministers are authoritarian's with values I don't respect and wouldn't trust."
But if you consider the general case as I have carefully chosen to describe it,
you might see a different possibility. Religious ministers have a mission
rooted in theological texts. In order to maintain their credibility they must
seem to remain devoted to their foundational texts and the entities presupposed
by those texts. What if there was a minister who's "foundational
texts" where contemporary research and secular culture? You would have a
ministry of science.
A minister of science's mission would be to provide a congregation
with an effective and rational understanding of the world as it was empirically knowable. And god
knows, with all the flip flopping about the goodness of eggs, red wine and running
shoes, we could all the help. An atheist minister would not be offering interpretations of the Bible but
interpretations of the research. Someone who would do the reading that you
don't have time to do, and the thinking that seems too muddy to bother with and
make an honest argument for and against things on secular, ethical, rational
grounds.
Taken by itself, this one service sounds more like science
journalism than anything else, and that isn't an unfair way to characterize
this one service. But as I add other points of service for a secular ministry, it will
make more sense.
And feel free criticize, I need help seeing the other side
of these kinds of arguments.
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